Featured image of post Do Crypto Prices Rise or Fall 24 Hours After a Fed Hike? I Computed All 20 Hikes

Do Crypto Prices Rise or Fall 24 Hours After a Fed Hike? I Computed All 20 Hikes

All 20 Fed hikes of the crypto era (2015–2018 and 2022–2023 cycles), with 24-hour price changes for BTC/ETH/XRP/LTC/ZEC/DOGE computed precisely from hourly closes anchored at the announcement moment. The counterintuitive conclusion: BTC averages only −0.3%, with a 45% vs 55% rise/fall split — statistically a coin flip. What actually moves the market is what Powell says about the future path at the press conference. Full data table and two actionable scenarios included.

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